Paris 2026
63 players, 42 singles matches on our card, hard (indoor) court. Title chances, the field, who is in form and who is carrying something - with a preview of every match.
Title chances
| Player | Title chance | Our fair price | Market | Edge | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alcaraz 2 | 31.9% | 3.1 | — | — | — | — |
| A. Zverev 1 | 15.8% | 6.3 | — | — | — | — |
| D. Medvedev 4 | 7.2% | 13.8 | — | — | — | — |
| A. Davidovich Fokina 13 | 3.9% | 25.9 | — | — | — | — |
| F. Tiafoe 7 | 3.8% | 26.4 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Paul 12 | 3.7% | 26.8 | — | — | — | — |
| B. Shelton 3 | 3.7% | 27.1 | — | — | — | — |
| R. Jodar 9 | 3.6% | 27.5 | — | — | — | — |
| N. Djokovic 10 | 3.5% | 28.5 | — | — | — | — |
| A. De Minaur 8 | 3.5% | 28.8 | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fils 6 | 3.0% | 33.0 | — | — | — | — |
| T. Fritz 11 | 2.9% | 34.9 | — | — | — | — |
| C. Ruud | 2.7% | 36.5 | — | — | — | — |
| L. Musetti | 1.1% | 94.2 | — | — | — | — |
From the published draw and our ratings, worked out exactly round by round rather than simulated. The fair price is ours, before any margin. No outright prices recorded for this event yet.
Conditions
Hard (Indoor) court · France
Very slow. Servers win 61% of points here (-4.6 points against the level average); 18% of sets reach a tiebreak; 9.9 games a set. Measured from 80 matches played here, not a surface label.
| Date | High | Low | Humidity | Wind km/h | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 | 10° | 7° | 73% | 16 | 15% |
| 11-04 | 10° | 5° | 68% | 15 | 0% |
Highs of 10-10°c.
Last year
The champion is not in this year's field.
Players to watch
In form
Wins above what the prices expected, last 35 days
Carrying something
Retirements, walkovers, medical timeouts and long layoffs
Matches to come
| When | Match | Price | Price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 10:00 | B. BonzivT. Fritz | 4.35 | 1.25 |
| 11-03 10:00 | J-L. StruffvA. Gea | 2.04 | 1.85 |
| 11-03 19:00 | B. SheltonvC. Norrie | 1.37 | 3.37 |
| 11-04 10:00 | I. BusevD. Medvedev | 5.93 | 1.15 |
| 11-04 10:00 | A. ZverevvL. Musetti | 1.41 | 3.06 |
| 11-04 10:00 | C. RuudvR. Jodar | 2.63 | 1.54 |
| 11-04 10:00 | A. FilsvT. Machac | 1.52 | 2.68 |
| 11-04 10:00 | M. BelluccivA. Rinderknech | — | — |
| 11-04 10:00 | T. M. EtcheverryvA. De Minaur | — | — |
| 11-04 10:00 | Q. HalysvF. Tiafoe | — | — |
Results so far
| Date | Match | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11-03 | N. BorgesvM. Kouame | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | A. MolcanvT. Droguet | 2 - 1 | |
| 11-02 | K. JacquetvT. Machac | 0 - 2 | |
| 11-02 | M. BelluccivL. Sonego | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | D. Merida AguilarvS. Baez | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | C. RuudvJ. M. Cerundolo | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | L. DarderivR. Hijikata | 0 - 2 | |
| 11-02 | L. van AsschevM. Navone | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | A. TabilovR. Jodar | 0 - 2 | |
| 11-02 | D. ShapovalovvK. Khachanov | 1 - 1 | Retired |
| 11-02 | A. RublevvT. M. Etcheverry | 1 - 2 | |
| 11-02 | A. RinderknechvF. Cerundolo | 1 - 1 | Retired |
| 11-02 | C. NorrievM. Arnaldi | 2 - 1 | |
| 11-02 | L. MusettivH. Hurkacz | 2 - 0 | |
| 11-02 | U. HumbertvB. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 |