ChallengerClayCosta do Sauipe2026-11-03 20:30

Elahi Galan Daniel v Gonzalo Bueno

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Lean

D. E. Galan to win1.71

Price too short today - wait for 1.79 or bigger · our chance 56% · market 56/44, us 56/44

D. E. Galan is 5-5 over the last ten and 26-21 on clay this season. G. Bueno is 4-6 over the last ten and 31-23 on clay this season. The head to head is D. E. Galan 1-0.

The pick is D. E. Galan to win. We make it a 56% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.79 or bigger. At 1.71 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

D. E. Galan		G. Bueno
155	Ranking	172
5-5	Last 10	4-6
WLWWW	Last 5	LWLWL
-1.1	V the odds	-0.6
28-26	Season	34-29
26-21	Clay 2026	31-23
3	Last 7 days	1
1d	Days rest	5d
1	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head 1-0

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

D. E. GalanFAV1.7156%

G. Bueno2.2044%

Market says56% Galan

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

D. E. GalanWLWWW

G. BuenoLWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

D. E. Galan1

G. Bueno0

Head to head1 meeting

Date	Event	Match	Score
2025-01-24	Punta Del Este	D. E. GalanvG. Bueno	7-6 6-4

This season & this event

D. E. Galan

G. Bueno

28-26

26-21

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

34-29

31-23

Lost R16 to E. Nava

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

The players

Daniel Elahi Galan

Colombia

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

155

Colombia

1–1

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

172

Peru

32–26

3–3

29–20

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

D. E. Galan — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Costa do Sauipe	Clay	J. E. Schiessl		1.31	73%	WON
Games in each set6-4 7-6 GalanSchiesslPoints won56%44%Serve points won72%58%Return points won42%28%Games held9 of 118 of 11Break points saved0 of 24 of 7Aces62Double faults06
2026-10-29	Guayaquil	Clay	L. Midon		2.38	60%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 4-6 GalanMidonPoints won46%54%Serve points won58%69%Return points won31%42%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved5 of 81 of 2Aces52Double faults21
2026-10-28	Guayaquil	Clay	M. Del Pino		1.06	90%	WON
Games in each set6-1 5-7 6-0 GalanPinoPoints won58%42%Serve points won65%48%Return points won52%35%Games held11 of 136 of 12Break points saved1 of 37 of 13Aces40Double faults43
2026-10-26	Guayaquil	Clay	L. J. Rodriguez		1.39	68%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 GalanRodriguezPoints won60%40%Serve points won84%54%Return points won46%16%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces54Double faults06
2026-10-25	Guayaquil	Clay	B. Arias	RET	1.01	97%	WON
Games in each set6-1 1-0 GalanAriasPoints won73%27%Serve points won80%33%Return points won67%20%Games held4 of 41 of 4Break points saved0 of 02 of 5Aces11Double faults02
2026-10-19	Cali	Clay	J. P. Varillas		1.93	50%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 GalanVarillasPoints won41%59%Serve points won55%74%Return points won26%45%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved2 of 61 of 2Aces62Double faults20
2026-09-21	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	C. Hemery		1.58	58%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 6-7 6-7 GalanHemeryPoints won51%49%Serve points won69%69%Return points won31%31%Games held14 of 1814 of 18Break points saved6 of 104 of 8Aces84Double faults71
2026-09-17	Szczecin	Clay	N. Sanchez Izquierdo		1.91	51%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 3-6 GalanIzquierdoPoints won36%64%Serve points won46%73%Return points won27%54%Games held3 of 78 of 8Break points saved1 of 52 of 2Aces10Double faults10
2026-09-15	Szczecin	Clay	F. Diaz Acosta		4.55	80%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-2 6-3 GalanAcostaPoints won52%48%Serve points won65%60%Return points won40%35%Games held12 of 1410 of 15Break points saved5 of 74 of 9Aces72Double faults14
2026-09-07	Tulln	Clay	M. Topo		1.53	63%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-4 3-6 GalanTopoPoints won47%53%Serve points won54%61%Return points won39%46%Games held8 of 1311 of 14Break points saved2 of 73 of 6Aces42Double faults25

G. Bueno — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-29	Guayaquil	Clay	C. M. Zarate	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-3 5-7 5-7 BuenoZaratePoints won50%50%Serve points won59%60%Return points won40%41%Games held12 of 1613 of 17Break points saved8 of 122 of 6Aces21Double faults45
2026-10-26	Guayaquil	Clay	A. Barrena	2.18	56%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-3 BuenoBarrenaPoints won55%45%Serve points won63%53%Return points won47%37%Games held8 of 116 of 10Break points saved1 of 41 of 5Aces02Double faults12
2026-10-21	Cali	Clay	S. Rodriguez Taverna	1.48	65%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 BuenoTavernaPoints won46%54%Serve points won55%65%Return points won35%45%Games held10 of 1513 of 15Break points saved8 of 133 of 5Aces27Double faults94
2026-10-19	Cali	Clay	H. Casanova	1.56	61%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-3 6-2 BuenoCasanovaPoints won53%47%Serve points won61%56%Return points won44%39%Games held10 of 138 of 12Break points saved2 of 511 of 15Aces20Double faults60
2026-10-13	Santa Cruz 2	Clay	M. Zeitune	1.59	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoZeitunePoints won39%61%Serve points won49%73%Return points won27%51%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved5 of 93 of 3Aces12Double faults51
2026-09-08	Seville	Clay	C. Sanchez Jover	1.71	57%	WON
Games in each set0-6 6-4 6-4 BuenoJoverPoints won50%50%Serve points won56%58%Return points won42%44%Games held9 of 1310 of 13Break points saved9 of 1312 of 15Aces22Double faults42
2026-09-02	Como	Clay	M. Schoenhaus	1.99	52%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoSchoenhausPoints won42%58%Serve points won48%62%Return points won38%52%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved1 of 63 of 4Aces02Double faults15
2026-08-31	Como	Clay	J. Reis Da Silva	1.60	60%	WON
Games in each set6-2 7-5 BuenoSilvaPoints won54%46%Serve points won65%55%Return points won45%35%Games held9 of 106 of 10Break points saved2 of 312 of 16Aces12Double faults10
2026-08-24	US Open	Hard	B. Harris	2.42	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 3-6 BuenoHarrisPoints won40%60%Serve points won46%66%Return points won34%54%Games held3 of 87 of 8Break points saved4 of 92 of 3Aces11Double faults33
2026-08-20	Kingston (Jamaica)	Hard	V. Royer	4.89	80%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 1-6 BuenoRoyerPoints won33%67%Serve points won40%76%Return points won24%60%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved1 of 60 of 0Aces01Double faults41

Common questions

Who is favourite, Elahi Galan Daniel or Gonzalo Bueno?

Elahi Galan Daniel is favourite at 1.71, which is a 56% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Elahi Galan Daniel vs Gonzalo Bueno?

Elahi Galan Daniel is 1.71 and Gonzalo Bueno is 2.20, the prices we recorded for the Costa do Sauipe match.

What is the head-to-head between Elahi Galan Daniel and Gonzalo Bueno?

They have met 1 time and Elahi Galan Daniel leads 1-0.

Who will win Elahi Galan Daniel vs Gonzalo Bueno?

Our model makes it Elahi Galan Daniel to win at 1.71 (Lean confidence).

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