M. Tobon v Enrique Bogo
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONM. Tobon is 6-4 over the last ten and 21-16 on clay this season. E. Bogo is 0-1 over the last ten and 0-1 on clay this season.
The pick is M. Tobon to win. We make it a 97% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.04 or bigger. At 1.01 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Tobon | E. Bogo | |
|---|---|---|
| 506 | Ranking | - |
| 6-4 | Last 10 | 0-1 |
| LWWLW | Last 5 | L |
| +1.0 | V the odds | -0.1 |
| 31-26 | Season | 0-1 |
| 21-16 | Clay 2026 | 0-1 |
| 3 | Last 7 days | 0 |
| 4d | Days rest | 245d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | 245d out |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Costa do Sauipe | M. TobonvE. Bogo | 6-1 6-0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Tobon — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Costa do Sauipe | Clay | F. L. Storck | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 2-6 TobonStorckPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%71%Return points won29%47%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved5 of 91 of 2Aces20Double faults34 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Costa do Sauipe | Clay | E. Bogo | 1.01 | 96% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-0 TobonBogoPoints won67%33%Serve points won77%41%Return points won59%23%Games held7 of 71 of 6Break points saved1 of 15 of 10Aces40Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-28 | Guayaquil | Clay | J. Aguilar Cardozo | 2.50 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 TobonCardozoPoints won46%54%Serve points won61%69%Return points won31%39%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved2 of 51 of 1Aces42Double faults43 | |||||||
| 2026-10-26 | Guayaquil | Clay | D. Salazar | 1.15 | 82% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 TobonSalazarPoints won58%42%Serve points won72%55%Return points won45%28%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved4 of 44 of 7Aces41Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Guayaquil | Clay | F. Zeballos | 1.08 | 86% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 TobonZeballosPoints won59%41%Serve points won74%55%Return points won45%26%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved1 of 20 of 4Aces80Double faults04 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | Cali | Clay | V. Aboian | 1.50 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-1 6-7 2-6 TobonAboianPoints won50%50%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held11 of 1410 of 13Break points saved3 of 63 of 6Aces111Double faults101 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | Cali | Clay | N. Mejia | 3.10 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-2 7-6 TobonMejiaPoints won54%46%Serve points won68%58%Return points won42%32%Games held13 of 1512 of 15Break points saved5 of 712 of 15Aces93Double faults79 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Cali | Clay | G. Villanueva | 2.18 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 2-6 6-4 TobonVillanuevaPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%55%Return points won45%38%Games held9 of 137 of 12Break points saved3 of 71 of 6Aces51Double faults74 | |||||||
| 2026-10-09 | Antofagasta | Clay | J. C. Prado Angelo | 3.54 | 73% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 2-6 TobonAngeloPoints won35%65%Serve points won35%64%Return points won36%65%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved5 of 114 of 6Aces03Double faults00 | |||||||
| 2026-10-07 | Antofagasta | Clay | T. Barrios Vera | 4.84 | 80% | WON | |
Games in each set3-6 7-6 7-6 TobonVeraPoints won50%50%Serve points won59%63%Return points won37%41%Games held12 of 1713 of 16Break points saved12 of 174 of 7Aces122Double faults34 | |||||||
E. Bogo — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Costa do Sauipe | Clay | M. Tobon | 26.66 | 96% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 0-6 BogoTobonPoints won33%67%Serve points won41%77%Return points won23%59%Games held1 of 67 of 7Break points saved5 of 101 of 1Aces04Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-03-01 | Brasilia 2 | Clay | R. Dickerson | 11.86 | 92% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 4-6 BogoDickersonPoints won42%58%Serve points won44%61%Return points won39%56%Games held3 of 96 of 9Break points saved4 of 103 of 6Aces13Double faults111 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, M. Tobon or Enrique Bogo?
M. Tobon is favourite at 1.01, which is a 96% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for M. Tobon vs Enrique Bogo?
M. Tobon is 1.01 and Enrique Bogo is 26.66, the prices we recorded for the Costa do Sauipe match.
What is the head-to-head between M. Tobon and Enrique Bogo?
They have met 1 time and M. Tobon leads 1-0.
Who will win M. Tobon vs Enrique Bogo?
Our model makes it M. Tobon to win at 1.01 (Lean confidence).