ChallengerTaranto (Italy)2026-11-02 10:00

Philip Henning v Calvin Hemery

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

LeanWON

P. Henning to win1.72

Price too short today - wait for 1.89 or bigger · our chance 53% · market 54/46, us 53/47

P. Henning is 6-4 over the last ten. C. Hemery is 7-3 over the last ten.

The pick is P. Henning to win. We make it a 53% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.89 or bigger. At 1.72 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

P. Henning		C. Hemery
246	Ranking	322
6-4	Last 10	7-3
LWLWW	Last 5	LWLLW
-0.3	V the odds	-0.0
45-25	Season	37-26
-	Surface	-
2	Last 7 days	1
4d	Days rest	7d
0	Wins here	0
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

P. HenningFAV1.7354%

C. Hemery2.0046%

Market says54% Henning

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

P. HenningWLWLW

C. HemeryLLWLL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

P. Henning

C. Hemery

46-25

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on surface

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

37-27

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Philip Henning

South Africa

Calvin Hemery

France

246

South Africa

40–23

26–12

12–10

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

322

France

26–22

10–9

16–13

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

P. Henning — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taranto (Italy)	—	C. Hemery	1.73	54%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-2 HenningHemeryPoints won66%34%Serve points won81%48%Return points won52%19%Games held8 of 83 of 7Break points saved3 of 35 of 9Aces03Double faults13
2026-10-29	M25 Malta (Malta)	—	D. Popko	1.51	63%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 HenningPopkoPoints won45%55%Serve points won53%66%Return points won34%47%Games held6 of 109 of 11Break points saved6 of 103 of 5
2026-10-28	M25 Malta (Malta)	—	X. Matas Ortega	1.03	94%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-7 6-3 HenningOrtegaPoints won55%45%Serve points won62%51%Return points won49%38%Games held10 of 149 of 17Break points saved6 of 105 of 13
2026-10-25	M25 Sarreguemines	Grass	A. Nagel	1.74	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 3-6 HenningNagelPoints won47%53%Serve points won63%70%Return points won30%37%Games held11 of 1413 of 14Break points saved4 of 70 of 1
2026-10-24	M25 Sarreguemines	Grass	A. Gobat	1.45	66%	WON
Games in each set7-6 7-6 HenningGobatPoints won50%50%Serve points won70%69%Return points won31%30%Games held11 of 1211 of 14Break points saved4 of 52 of 3
2026-10-23	M25 Sarreguemines	Grass	L. Wessels	1.23	76%	WON
Games in each set6-1 7-5 HenningWesselsPoints won57%43%Serve points won69%56%Return points won44%31%Games held9 of 96 of 10Break points saved4 of 44 of 8
2026-10-22	M25 Sarreguemines	Grass	A. Walch	1.04	93%	WON
Games in each set6-3 7-5 HenningWalchPoints won55%45%Serve points won64%55%Return points won45%36%Games held9 of 116 of 10Break points saved2 of 43 of 7
2026-10-21	M25 Sarreguemines	Grass	R. Catry	1.28	75%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-3 HenningCatryPoints won57%43%Serve points won68%60%Return points won40%32%Games held9 of 95 of 8Break points saved4 of 41 of 4
2026-10-12	Roanne	Hard (Indoor)	D. Stricker	3.21	70%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 3-6 HenningStrickerPoints won40%60%Serve points won50%74%Return points won26%50%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved9 of 130 of 0Aces16Double faults20
2026-10-08	Villena	Clay	B. Gojo	3.07	69%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-7 HenningGojoPoints won46%54%Serve points won62%72%Return points won28%38%Games held10 of 1210 of 12Break points saved2 of 42 of 4Aces222Double faults14

C. Hemery — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Taranto (Italy)	—	P. Henning	2.00	54%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 2-6 HemeryHenningPoints won34%66%Serve points won48%81%Return points won19%52%Games held3 of 78 of 8Break points saved5 of 93 of 3Aces30Double faults31
2026-10-26	Brest	Hard	R. Catry	1.30	71%	LOST
Games in each set7-6 3-6 4-6 HemeryCatryPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%77%Return points won23%33%Games held12 of 1515 of 16Break points saved3 of 62 of 3Aces59Double faults51
2026-10-25	Brest	Hard	A. Gobat	1.50	62%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 HemeryGobatPoints won55%45%Serve points won72%60%Return points won40%28%Games held9 of 97 of 10Break points saved0 of 05 of 8Aces54Double faults03
2026-10-19	Lisbon	Clay	R. Brancaccio	1.72	54%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 4-6 HemeryBrancaccioPoints won43%57%Serve points won49%62%Return points won38%51%Games held4 of 88 of 9Break points saved5 of 98 of 9Aces03Double faults35
2026-10-10	M25 Kigali 2	Clay	M. Houkes	2.07	54%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 2-6 2-6 HemeryHoukesPoints won41%59%Serve points won56%76%Return points won24%44%Games held9 of 1312 of 13Break points saved2 of 65 of 6
2026-10-09	M25 Kigali 2	Clay	M. Vankan	1.15	83%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-4 HemeryVankanPoints won58%42%Serve points won69%51%Return points won49%31%Games held9 of 105 of 9Break points saved0 of 15 of 9
2026-10-08	M25 Kigali 2	Clay	B. Lock	1.14	80%	WON
Games in each set7-6 4-6 7-6 HemeryLockPoints won50%50%Serve points won63%64%Return points won36%37%Games held14 of 1715 of 19Break points saved5 of 84 of 6
2026-10-07	M25 Kigali 2	Clay	N. Grunewald	1.01	90%	WON
Games in each set6-2 6-1 HemeryGrunewaldPoints won64%36%Serve points won71%42%Return points won58%29%Games held7 of 82 of 7Break points saved0 of 15 of 10
2026-10-04	M25 Kigali	Clay	B. Lock	1.18	77%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-3 HemeryLockPoints won58%42%Serve points won78%58%Return points won42%22%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved2 of 26 of 9
2026-10-03	M25 Kigali	Clay	F. Bax	1.59	60%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 HemeryBaxPoints won53%47%Serve points won74%65%Return points won35%26%Games held10 of 108 of 10Break points saved0 of 06 of 8

Common questions

Who is favourite, Philip Henning or Calvin Hemery?

Philip Henning is favourite at 1.73, which is a 54% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Philip Henning vs Calvin Hemery?

Philip Henning is 1.73 and Calvin Hemery is 2.00, the prices we recorded for the Taranto (Italy) match.

Who will win Philip Henning vs Calvin Hemery?

Our model makes it Philip Henning to win at 1.72 (Lean confidence).

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