ChallengerClayVilla Maria · 1/16-finals2026-11-03 23:00

Federico Coria v Ivan Dreycopp

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

I. Dreycopp to win a set (set handicap +1.5)

Worth backing at 1.74 or bigger · our chance 57% · market 78/22, us 72/28

I. Dreycopp is 6-4 over the last ten and 4-5 on clay this season. F. Coria is 2-8 over the last ten and 5-11 on clay this season.

The pick is I. Dreycopp to win a set (set handicap +1.5). We make it a 57% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.74 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

F. Coria		I. Dreycopp
833	Ranking	-
2-8	Last 10	6-4
LLLWL	Last 5	WWLWW
-1.5	V the odds	+0.9
6-14	Season	7-7
5-11	Clay 2026	4-5
0	Last 7 days	2
8d	Days rest	1d
0	Wins here	2
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

F. CoriaFAV1.2378%

I. Dreycopp4.2922%

Market says78% Coria

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

F. CoriaLLLWL

I. DreycoppWWLWW

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

F. Coria

I. Dreycopp

6-14

5-11

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

7-7

4-5

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Federico Coria

Argentina

Ivan Dreycopp

Argentina

833

Argentina

6–12

0–1

5–10

1–1

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

1882

Argentina

2–4

1–3

1–1

—

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

F. Coria — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Guayaquil	Clay	C. Ugo Carabelli		4.40	78%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 2-6 CoriaCarabelliPoints won42%58%Serve points won54%72%Return points won28%46%Games held6 of 109 of 10Break points saved4 of 81 of 2Aces55Double faults61
2026-10-19	Cali	Clay	N. Mejia		3.60	73%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 4-6 CoriaMejiaPoints won47%53%Serve points won51%57%Return points won43%49%Games held7 of 118 of 11Break points saved2 of 66 of 9Aces55Double faults21
2026-09-24	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	E. Ribeiro		2.15	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 5-7 CoriaRibeiroPoints won47%53%Serve points won64%73%Return points won27%36%Games held9 of 1111 of 11Break points saved5 of 72 of 2Aces34Double faults31
2026-09-21	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	L. Ratti		1.87	51%	WON
Games in each set6-7 6-3 7-5 CoriaRattiPoints won54%46%Serve points won57%52%Return points won48%43%Games held11 of 178 of 16Break points saved17 of 233 of 11Aces12Double faults05
2026-08-25	US Open	Hard	C. Chidekh		8.75	89%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 2-6 CoriaChidekhPoints won41%59%Serve points won43%62%Return points won38%57%Games held2 of 86 of 8Break points saved5 of 111 of 3Aces22Double faults63
2026-07-28	San Marino	Clay	F. Forti		2.22	56%	LOST
Games in each set4-6 2-6 CoriaFortiPoints won42%58%Serve points won55%75%Return points won25%45%Games held6 of 99 of 9Break points saved7 of 102 of 2Aces14Double faults41
2026-07-18	Kitzbuhel	clay	V. Sachko		3.28	71%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 2-6 CoriaSachkoPoints won40%60%Serve points won51%75%Return points won25%49%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 80 of 2Aces53Double faults90
2026-07-12	Bastad	Clay	T. Daniel		2.82	66%	LOST
Games in each set0-6 2-6 CoriaDanielPoints won36%64%Serve points won41%68%Return points won32%59%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved3 of 85 of 5Aces21Double faults20
2026-07-09	Liege (Belgium) - Qualification	Clay	G. Den Ouden		3.16	70%	LOST
Games in each set6-2 2-6 3-6 CoriaOudenPoints won49%51%Serve points won58%58%Return points won42%42%Games held7 of 129 of 13Break points saved8 of 138 of 12Aces32Double faults11
2026-07-07	Liege (Belgium) - Qualification	Clay	G. Blancaneaux	RET	1.69	57%	WON
Games in each set7-6 1-0 CoriaBlancaneauxPoints won52%48%Serve points won54%49%Return points won51%46%Games held4 of 73 of 6Break points saved0 of 30 of 3Aces00Double faults12

I. Dreycopp — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Villa Maria	Clay	V. H. Remondy Pagotto	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-2 DreycoppPagottoPoints won57%43%Serve points won71%56%Return points won44%29%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved1 of 12 of 5Aces00Double faults01
2026-11-01	Villa Maria	Clay	F. Tenti	1.68	56%	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-1 DreycoppTentiPoints won57%43%Serve points won59%46%Return points won54%41%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved9 of 116 of 11Aces20Double faults53
2026-10-16	M15 Quito 4	Clay	A. Hernandez	3.18	70%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-4 3-6 DreycoppHernandezPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%62%Return points won38%40%Games held9 of 1411 of 14Break points saved3 of 85 of 8
2026-10-15	M15 Quito 4	Clay	M. Covato	1.58	60%	WON
Games in each set7-6 6-7 7-6 DreycoppCovatoPoints won53%47%Serve points won76%70%Return points won30%24%Games held17 of 1817 of 18Break points saved2 of 32 of 3
2026-10-14	M15 Quito 4	Clay	V. Grippo	1.46	65%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-2 DreycoppGrippoPoints won61%39%Serve points won68%46%Return points won54%32%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved4 of 52 of 6
2026-10-06	M15 Quito 3	Clay	J. S. Gomez	2.25	58%	LOST
Games in each set5-7 6-2 3-6 DreycoppGomezPoints won49%51%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held10 of 1411 of 15Break points saved4 of 77 of 11
2026-09-03	M15 Trelew (Argentina)	Hard	L. Gagliardo	—	—	LOST
Games in each set7-6 4-6 1-6 DreycoppGagliardoPoints won44%56%Serve points won62%75%Return points won25%38%Games held11 of 1514 of 14Break points saved1 of 54 of 4
2026-09-02	M15 Trelew (Argentina)	Hard	B. Torrealba	1.80	51%	WON
Games in each set5-7 6-1 6-1 DreycoppTorrealbaPoints won64%36%Serve points won71%44%Return points won56%29%Games held11 of 137 of 13Break points saved3 of 33 of 8
2026-09-01	M15 Trelew (Argentina), Hard	—	V. J. Benitez	—	—	WON
Games in each set6-4 6-4 DreycoppBenitezPoints won56%44%Serve points won80%61%Return points won39%20%Games held9 of 107 of 10Break points saved0 of 12 of 5
2026-08-26	M15 Mar Del Plata (Argentina)	Clay	J. Cundom	—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 6-1 6-7

Common questions

Who is favourite, Federico Coria or Ivan Dreycopp?

Federico Coria is favourite at 1.23, which is a 78% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp?

Federico Coria is 1.23 and Ivan Dreycopp is 4.29, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.

Who will win Federico Coria vs Ivan Dreycopp?

Our model makes it Ivan Dreycopp to win a set (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Rodriguez v Cardozo Gagliardo v Nijboer Serna v Pino Estevez v Tabata Torres v Bruna