ChallengerClayVilla Maria · 1/16-finals2026-11-03 15:30

Juan Estevez v Ryo Tabata

Match preview, prediction and odds

Our pick

Solid

R. Tabata to win2.85

Worth backing at 2.47 or bigger · our chance 41% · market 66/34, us 59/41

R. Tabata is 5-5 over the last ten and 13-8 on clay this season. J. Estevez is 2-8 over the last ten and 32-26 on clay this season.

The pick is R. Tabata to win. We make it a 41% chance, so it is only worth backing at 2.47 or bigger.

An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.

Key numbers

J. Estevez		R. Tabata
360	Ranking	-
2-8	Last 10	5-5
LLLLL	Last 5	WWLWL
-2.3	V the odds	+1.5
35-28	Season	26-20
32-26	Clay 2026	13-8
0	Last 7 days	2
8d	Days rest	1d
0	Wins here	2
Clear	Fitness	Clear
	Head to head First meeting

V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.

The market

J. EstevezFAV1.4466%

R. Tabata2.8534%

Market says66% Estevez

Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.

Recent form

J. EstevezLLLLL

R. TabataWWLWL

Last five completed matches, most recent first.

Head to head

First career meetingNo previous matches between these two on record.

This season & this event

J. Estevez

R. Tabata

35-28

32-26

Did not play

2026 record

2026 on clay

Here in 2025

Here in 2024

26-20

13-8

Did not play

Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.

No previous edition of this event found in the feed.

The players

Juan Estevez

Argentina

Ryo Tabata

Japan

360

Argentina

35–25

—

35–25

—

Ranking

Age

Country

2026 W/L

Titles

Hard

Clay

Grass

949

Japan

16–16

12–14

4–1

0–1

Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.

J. Estevez — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Their price	Market	Result
2026-10-26	Guayaquil	Clay	T. Barrios Vera	5.17	81%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 6-7 EstevezVeraPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%65%Return points won35%42%Games held6 of 108 of 10Break points saved4 of 83 of 5Aces33Double faults23
2026-10-12	Santa Cruz 2	Clay	R. Pacheco Mendez	3.78	75%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 6-4 3-6 EstevezMendezPoints won48%52%Serve points won60%65%Return points won35%40%Games held10 of 1412 of 14Break points saved10 of 143 of 5Aces17Double faults35
2026-10-05	Antofagasta	Clay	M. A. Dellien Velasco	1.75	55%	LOST
Games in each set2-6 0-6 EstevezVelascoPoints won31%69%Serve points won34%71%Return points won29%66%Games held2 of 77 of 7Break points saved1 of 62 of 2Aces00Double faults11
2026-09-21	Buenos Aires 3	Clay	F. Comesana	5.50	83%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-4 2-6 EstevezComesanaPoints won44%56%Serve points won56%66%Return points won34%44%Games held7 of 1211 of 13Break points saved4 of 97 of 9Aces05Double faults34
2026-09-01	Plovdiv 3 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	F. Iannaccone	1.93	50%	LOST
Games in each set6-4 3-6 1-6 EstevezIannacconePoints won46%54%Serve points won45%53%Return points won47%55%Games held5 of 138 of 13Break points saved4 of 124 of 9Aces11Double faults42
2026-08-26	Augsburg	Clay	B. Sanchez Martinez	2.49	61%	LOST
Games in each set3-6 4-6 EstevezMartinezPoints won42%58%Serve points won60%82%Return points won18%40%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved2 of 42 of 2Aces17Double faults11
2026-08-24	Augsburg	Clay	A. Nedic	2.98	68%	WON
Games in each set2-6 6-4 6-3 EstevezNedicPoints won51%49%Serve points won56%55%Return points won45%44%Games held9 of 139 of 14Break points saved10 of 144 of 9Aces23Double faults12
2026-08-18	Sion (Switzerland)	Clay	G. Blancaneaux	2.39	60%	LOST
Games in each set1-6 6-3 5-7 EstevezBlancaneauxPoints won47%53%Serve points won58%64%Return points won36%42%Games held10 of 1412 of 14Break points saved5 of 95 of 7Aces15Double faults16
2026-08-13	M25 Muttenz	Clay	N. Hipfl	1.44	66%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-7 EstevezHipflPoints won49%51%Serve points won66%65%Return points won35%34%Games held16 of 1818 of 21Break points saved1 of 311 of 13
2026-08-12	M25 Muttenz	Clay	A. Bergomi	1.08	89%	WON
Games in each set6-0 6-0 EstevezBergomiPoints won78%22%Serve points won86%27%Return points won73%14%Games held6 of 60 of 6Break points saved0 of 01 of 7

R. Tabata — last 10

With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.

Date	Event	Surface	Opponent	Score	Their price	Market	Result
2026-11-02	Villa Maria	Clay	S. De La Fuente		1.93	51%	WON
Games in each set6-2 5-7 6-2 TabataFuentePoints won54%46%Serve points won59%51%Return points won49%41%Games held10 of 147 of 14Break points saved8 of 126 of 13Aces10Double faults13
2026-11-01	Villa Maria	Clay	R. Valente		1.22	77%	WON
Games in each set6-2 3-6 6-3 TabataValentePoints won52%48%Serve points won61%57%Return points won43%39%Games held11 of 139 of 13Break points saved6 of 83 of 7Aces15Double faults12
2026-10-01	M25 Slobozia (Romania)	Clay	J. Opitz	RET	1.74	55%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 TabataOpitzPoints won51%49%Serve points won67%62%Return points won38%33%Games held5 of 75 of 6Break points saved0 of 11 of 2
2026-09-29	M25 Slobozia (Romania)	Clay	G. Ghetu		3.37	72%	WON
Games in each set6-3 6-4 TabataGhetuPoints won54%46%Serve points won48%41%Return points won59%52%Games held4 of 92 of 10Break points saved6 of 114 of 12
2026-09-20	Plovdiv 4 (Bulgaria) - Qualification	Clay	S. Gulin		5.09	81%	LOST
Games in each set6-7 1-6 TabataGulinPoints won41%59%Serve points won51%67%Return points won33%49%Games held5 of 98 of 10Break points saved4 of 86 of 8Aces02Double faults33
2026-09-18	M25 Zlatibor	Clay	A. Andreev		4.12	78%	LOST
Games in each set7-5 1-6 9-11 TabataAndreevPoints won47%53%Serve points won56%61%Return points won39%44%Games held9 of 179 of 15Break points saved7 of 104 of 6
2026-09-15	M25 Zlatibor	Clay	K. Ivanovski		3.43	73%	WON
Games in each set6-1 4-6 10-6 TabataIvanovskiPoints won51%49%Serve points won62%63%Return points won37%38%Games held12 of 178 of 16Break points saved5 of 72 of 5
2026-09-07	US Open	Hard	J. Kennedy		—	—	LOST
Games in each set3-6 3-6 TabataKennedyPoints won24%76%Serve points won22%75%Return points won25%78%Games held2 of 95 of 6
2026-08-07	M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan)	Hard	E. Pleshivtsev		—	—	LOST
Games in each set6-7 7-5 5-7
2026-08-04	M15 Astana 2 (Kazakhstan)	Hard	D. Rakhmatullayev		1.38	69%	WON
Games in each set6-1 6-3

Common questions

Who is favourite, Juan Estevez or Ryo Tabata?

Juan Estevez is favourite at 1.44, which is a 66% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.

What are the odds for Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata?

Juan Estevez is 1.44 and Ryo Tabata is 2.85, the prices we recorded for the Villa Maria match.

Who will win Juan Estevez vs Ryo Tabata?

Our model makes it Ryo Tabata to win at 2.85 (Solid confidence).

Also at this event

Rodriguez v Cardozo Gagliardo v Nijboer Serna v Pino Torres v Bruna Coria v Dreycopp