Masamichi Imamura v Luca Staeheli
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
SolidLOSTL. Staeheli is 7-3 over the last ten and 22-11 on hard this season. M. Imamura is 1-9 over the last ten and 39-29 on hard this season.
The pick is L. Staeheli to win. We make it a 68% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.49 or bigger.
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| M. Imamura | L. Staeheli | |
|---|---|---|
| 408 | Ranking | 431 |
| 1-9 | Last 10 | 7-3 |
| LLLLL | Last 5 | LWWWW |
| -3.5 | V the odds | +0.2 |
| 39-30 | Season | 44-22 |
| 39-29 | Hard 2026 | 22-11 |
| 1 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 5d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | Clear |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | M. ImamuravL. Staeheli | 6-2 6-3 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
M. Imamura — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Erel | RET | 3.94 | 76% | WON |
Games in each set5-7 6-2 3-1 ImamuraErelPoints won55%45%Serve points won61%53%Return points won47%39%Games held9 of 127 of 12Break points saved5 of 85 of 10Aces107Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | L. Staeheli | 2.42 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-3 ImamuraStaeheliPoints won58%42%Serve points won75%53%Return points won47%25%Games held8 of 85 of 9Break points saved2 of 25 of 9Aces04Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-10-27 | Ningbo | Hard | T. Schoolkate | 6.15 | 84% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 3-6 ImamuraSchoolkatePoints won42%58%Serve points won61%75%Return points won25%39%Games held7 of 910 of 10Break points saved3 of 51 of 1Aces14Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Guangzhou | Hard | S. Purtseladze | 1.63 | 58% | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 2-6 ImamuraPurtseladzePoints won36%64%Serve points won48%73%Return points won27%52%Games held3 of 78 of 8Break points saved3 of 72 of 2Aces112Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-05 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Uchida | 1.54 | 62% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 2-6 ImamuraUchidaPoints won46%54%Serve points won59%65%Return points won35%41%Games held7 of 109 of 10Break points saved0 of 33 of 4Aces35Double faults13 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Jingshan | Hard | P. Bar Biryukov | 2.07 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 4-6 ImamuraBiryukovPoints won42%58%Serve points won62%80%Return points won20%38%Games held9 of 1111 of 11Break points saved2 of 40 of 0Aces413Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-22 | Hangzhou | Hard | R. Noguchi | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 ImamuraNoguchiPoints won39%61%Serve points won54%77%Return points won23%46%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved5 of 80 of 0Aces11Double faults20 | |||||||
| 2026-09-14 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | E. Aguiard | 1.87 | 50% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 2-6 ImamuraAguiardPoints won41%59%Serve points won58%76%Return points won24%42%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved4 of 71 of 1Aces312Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-08 | M25 Sapporo | Hard | Y. Chung | 1.55 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-3 3-6 ImamuraChungPoints won49%51%Serve points won62%62%Return points won38%38%Games held9 of 1311 of 14Break points saved1 of 54 of 7 | |||||||
| 2026-09-01 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | B. Tomic | 2.68 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 4-6 ImamuraTomicPoints won49%51%Serve points won59%61%Return points won39%41%Games held9 of 1410 of 15Break points saved5 of 109 of 14Aces518Double faults35 | |||||||
L. Staeheli — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | M. Imamura | 1.57 | 61% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 3-6 StaeheliImamuraPoints won42%58%Serve points won53%75%Return points won25%47%Games held5 of 98 of 8Break points saved5 of 92 of 2Aces40Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | M15 Shenzhen (China) | Hard | M. Haliak | 1.34 | 71% | LOST | |
Games in each set2-6 2-6 StaeheliHaliakPoints won40%60%Serve points won54%74%Return points won26%46%Games held4 of 88 of 8Break points saved4 of 63 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-10-24 | M15 Shenzhen (China) | Hard | B. Butulija | RET | 1.03 | 94% | WON |
Games in each set6-0 3-1 StaeheliButulijaPoints won64%36%Serve points won71%41%Return points won59%29%Games held5 of 51 of 5Break points saved0 of 09 of 13 | |||||||
| 2026-10-23 | M15 Shenzhen (China) | Hard | D. Sarksian | 1.29 | 73% | WON | |
Games in each set6-0 6-2 StaeheliSarksianPoints won65%35%Serve points won66%36%Return points won64%34%Games held4 of 41 of 5Break points saved2 of 23 of 7 | |||||||
| 2026-10-22 | M15 Shenzhen (China) | Hard | M. Shin | 1.14 | 84% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-4 StaeheliShinPoints won57%43%Serve points won61%47%Return points won53%39%Games held7 of 93 of 8Break points saved1 of 36 of 11 | |||||||
| 2026-10-21 | M15 Shenzhen (China) | Hard | H. He | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-0 | |||||||
| 2026-09-30 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | A. Andrade | 3.55 | 74% | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 6-7 StaeheliAndradePoints won42%58%Serve points won51%70%Return points won30%49%Games held7 of 118 of 10Break points saved4 of 81 of 3Aces54Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-09-29 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | O. Okonkwo | 1.55 | 61% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 6-4 6-1 StaeheliOkonkwoPoints won55%45%Serve points won67%54%Return points won46%33%Games held12 of 158 of 14Break points saved1 of 47 of 13Aces37Double faults56 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | A. Rybakov | 2.66 | 65% | WON | |
Games in each set4-6 6-3 6-3 StaeheliRybakovPoints won51%49%Serve points won63%62%Return points won38%37%Games held12 of 1410 of 14Break points saved6 of 84 of 8Aces12Double faults76 | |||||||
| 2026-09-27 | Columbus | Hard (Indoor) | B. Kuzuhara | — | — | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 6-2 StaeheliKuzuharaPoints won57%43%Serve points won63%51%Return points won49%37%Games held8 of 94 of 8Break points saved1 of 24 of 8Aces41Double faults34 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Masamichi Imamura or Luca Staeheli?
Luca Staeheli is favourite at 1.57, which is a 61% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Masamichi Imamura vs Luca Staeheli?
Masamichi Imamura is 2.42 and Luca Staeheli is 1.57, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.
What is the head-to-head between Masamichi Imamura and Luca Staeheli?
They have met 1 time and Masamichi Imamura leads 1-0.
Who will win Masamichi Imamura vs Luca Staeheli?
Our model makes it Luca Staeheli to win at 1.57 (Solid confidence).