Yosuke Watanuki v Dominik Palan
Match preview, prediction and odds
Our pick
LeanWONY. Watanuki is 5-5 over the last ten and 11-13 on hard this season. D. Palan is 2-8 over the last ten and 25-27 on hard this season. D. Palan took a medical timeout on 2026-10-18.
The pick is Y. Watanuki to win. We make it a 91% chance, so it is only worth backing at 1.11 or bigger. At 1.06 that is not there yet - leave it, or wait for the price to drift in-play (an early break against usually does it).
An opinion from the numbers, not a guarantee. 19+, bet responsibly.
Key numbers
| Y. Watanuki | D. Palan | |
|---|---|---|
| 420 | Ranking | 631 |
| 5-5 | Last 10 | 2-8 |
| LWWWW | Last 5 | LLWWL |
| -0.8 | V the odds | -0.9 |
| 12-14 | Season | 25-29 |
| 11-13 | Hard 2026 | 25-27 |
| 0 | Last 7 days | 1 |
| 16d | Days rest | 7d |
| 0 | Wins here | 0 |
| Clear | Fitness | MTO |
| Head to head First meeting |
V the odds: wins above (or below) what the prices expected over the last 10 - form with the strength of the opposition built in.
The market
Percentages are the implied chance of winning with the bookmaker's margin removed.
Head to head
| Date | Event | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | Y. WatanukivD. Palan | 7-6 6-0 |
This season & this event
Ranking points fall off a year after they are earned, so a player who went deep here last year must match it or drop in the rankings. That shapes effort in a way the price does not always show.
The players
Ranking, record and surface splits are for the most recent season on file. Height, weight and handedness are not published by our data provider.
Y. Watanuki — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | W. K. Leong M. | 1.10 | 83% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 WatanukiM.Points won64%36%Serve points won77%49%Return points won51%23%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved4 of 40 of 4Aces112Double faults12 | |||||||
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | D. Palan | 1.06 | 89% | WON | |
Games in each set7-6 6-0 WatanukiPalanPoints won62%38%Serve points won77%53%Return points won47%23%Games held8 of 95 of 9Break points saved0 of 12 of 6Aces76Double faults05 | |||||||
| 2026-10-16 | Jinan | Hard | S. Mochizuki | 1.77 | 55% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-4 2-6 6-7 WatanukiMochizukiPoints won47%53%Serve points won54%59%Return points won41%46%Games held9 of 1510 of 15Break points saved10 of 165 of 10Aces76Double faults45 | |||||||
| 2026-10-15 | Jinan | Hard | M. Cilic | 2.52 | 62% | WON | |
Games in each set7-5 6-4 WatanukiCilicPoints won53%47%Serve points won68%62%Return points won38%32%Games held10 of 118 of 11Break points saved1 of 26 of 9Aces117Double faults24 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | Jinan | Hard | A. Ilagan | 1.71 | 56% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 WatanukiIlaganPoints won61%39%Serve points won76%50%Return points won50%24%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved2 of 27 of 11Aces112Double faults23 | |||||||
| 2026-10-12 | Jinan | Hard | K. Uesugi | 1.06 | 88% | WON | |
Games in each set6-2 6-2 WatanukiUesugiPoints won63%37%Serve points won86%52%Return points won48%14%Games held8 of 84 of 8Break points saved0 of 03 of 7Aces63Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-10-11 | Jinan | Hard | S. Pankin | 1.38 | 69% | WON | |
Games in each set6-1 6-0 WatanukiPankinPoints won67%33%Serve points won71%38%Return points won62%29%Games held7 of 71 of 6Break points saved2 of 21 of 6Aces40Double faults15 | |||||||
| 2026-09-07 | Shanghai | Hard | M. Sharipov | 1.78 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 5-7 2-6 WatanukiSharipovPoints won46%54%Serve points won67%74%Return points won26%33%Games held13 of 1616 of 16Break points saved1 of 44 of 4Aces621Double faults03 | |||||||
| 2026-09-02 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | C. H. Tseng | 2.02 | 53% | LOST | |
Games in each set5-7 3-6 WatanukiTsengPoints won46%54%Serve points won54%67%Return points won33%46%Games held7 of 119 of 10Break points saved12 of 162 of 3Aces53Double faults80 | |||||||
| 2026-08-31 | Zhangjiagang | Hard | S. Pankin | 1.34 | 71% | WON | |
Games in each set6-3 7-5 WatanukiPankinPoints won55%45%Serve points won70%56%Return points won44%30%Games held9 of 107 of 11Break points saved5 of 66 of 10Aces82Double faults13 | |||||||
D. Palan — last 10
With the pre-match price we recorded at the time.
| Date | Event | Surface | Opponent | Score | Their price | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | Taipei | Hard (Indoor) | Y. Watanuki | 8.83 | 89% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 0-6 PalanWatanukiPoints won38%62%Serve points won53%77%Return points won23%47%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved2 of 60 of 1Aces67Double faults50 | |||||||
| 2026-10-25 | Ningbo | Hard | E. Pleshivtsev | 1.75 | 54% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-3 1-6 6-7 PalanPleshivtsevPoints won47%53%Serve points won57%63%Return points won37%43%Games held9 of 1410 of 14Break points saved4 of 99 of 13Aces58Double faults66 | |||||||
| 2026-10-20 | Guangzhou | Hard | L. Broady | 4.19 | 77% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-6 4-6 2-6 PalanBroadyPoints won46%54%Serve points won60%72%Return points won28%40%Games held11 of 1514 of 15Break points saved6 of 101 of 2Aces154Double faults77 | |||||||
| 2026-10-19 | Guangzhou | Hard | S. Pankin | 2.37 | 60% | WON | |
Games in each set6-4 6-2 PalanPankinPoints won63%37%Serve points won90%59%Return points won41%10%Games held9 of 96 of 9Break points saved0 of 01 of 4Aces124Double faults22 | |||||||
| 2026-10-18 | Guangzhou | Hard | A. Weber | 4.00 | 77% | WON | |
Games in each set6-7 7-6 6-4 PalanWeberPoints won50%50%Serve points won71%76%Return points won24%29%Games held17 of 1716 of 17Break points saved3 of 31 of 2Aces206Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-10-14 | M25 Qian Daohu | Hard | S. Fomin | 2.65 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 5-7 PalanFominPoints won45%55%Serve points won56%66%Return points won34%44%Games held8 of 139 of 12Break points saved6 of 100 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-10-06 | Wuning 3 (China) - Qualification | Hard | K. Saitoh | 2.15 | 57% | LOST | |
Games in each set6-7 4-6 PalanSaitohPoints won47%53%Serve points won67%72%Return points won28%33%Games held9 of 1110 of 11Break points saved0 of 21 of 2Aces100Double faults32 | |||||||
| 2026-09-28 | Jingshan | Hard | T. Atmane | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set1-6 4-6 PalanAtmanePoints won39%61%Serve points won58%84%Return points won16%42%Games held5 of 89 of 9Break points saved4 of 70 of 0Aces34Double faults11 | |||||||
| 2026-09-23 | M25 Yinchuan | Hard | K. S. Chen | — | — | LOST | |
Games in each set3-6 3-6 PalanChenPoints won46%54%Serve points won58%63%Return points won37%42%Games held5 of 98 of 9Break points saved2 of 62 of 3 | |||||||
| 2026-09-15 | Phan Thiet 4 (Vietnam) - Qualification | Hard | M. Borisiouk | 2.69 | 64% | LOST | |
Games in each set7-5 2-6 5-7 PalanBorisioukPoints won48%52%Serve points won65%71%Return points won29%35%Games held13 of 1615 of 16Break points saved4 of 71 of 2Aces815Double faults96 | |||||||
Common questions
Who is favourite, Yosuke Watanuki or Dominik Palan?
Yosuke Watanuki is favourite at 1.06, which is a 89% chance once the bookmaker's margin is removed.
What are the odds for Yosuke Watanuki vs Dominik Palan?
Yosuke Watanuki is 1.06 and Dominik Palan is 8.83, the prices we recorded for the Taipei match.
What is the head-to-head between Yosuke Watanuki and Dominik Palan?
They have met 1 time and Yosuke Watanuki leads 1-0.
Who will win Yosuke Watanuki vs Dominik Palan?
Our model makes it Yosuke Watanuki to win at 1.06 (Lean confidence).